SIMULATION OF THE DYNAMICS OF THE RUSSIAN MANAGEMENT SUBSYSTEM IN 1996–2013

The article covers the study of the dynamics of state administration quality in Russia in 1996-2013. One of the most comprehensive and prevalent methods for measuring of the state administration quality in the world’s practice is the integral rating WGI (The Worldwide Governance Indicators), proposed by the World Bank in 1996. The authors also use the model of the state-administrative subsystem of Russia based on the author's social and energy approach. A systematic approach and an outlook at the social system from the power perspective lies at the heart of the social and energy approach (SEA). This outlook allows to represent internal and non-system processes as the change or the redistribution of energy within and between systems. The communication fields model and the stochastic equations are also applied.

The authors pay a particular attention to the elements of political background in the assessment of specific indicators of the state administration quality influencing directly the resulting graphic trends. In general, the majority of Russian indices show the slight growth, and some of them look worse than in the early 2000s; this fact does not conform to the real economic and social indicators, which are the direct consequence of the management subsystems quality. The resulting conclusions based on the imitation simulation in MatLab 2009 show that the prognostic nonlinear dynamic model (even if using statistical data) are more independent and politically neutral tools for the assessment of parameters of the power and the state than the algorithms of the integral rating WGI.